{"id":860,"date":"2025-09-28T13:25:55","date_gmt":"2025-09-28T13:25:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/?p=860"},"modified":"2025-09-28T13:25:55","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T13:25:55","slug":"trump-doubled-his-support-from-black-voters-but-most-are-consistently-voting-against-their-own-best-interests-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/trump-doubled-his-support-from-black-voters-but-most-are-consistently-voting-against-their-own-best-interests-why\/","title":{"rendered":"TRUMP DOUBLED HIS SUPPORT FROM BLACK VOTERS, BUT MOST ARE CONSISTENTLY VOTING AGAINST THEIR OWN BEST INTERESTS? WHY?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"main-content\" class=\"wpds-c-eRlesA wpds-c-eRlesA-dHdMuz-isOnSplitTopper-false wpds-c-eRlesA-bAbYzz-isStyle-false wpds-c-eRlesA-iPJLV-css\" data-qa=\"headline\" data-testid=\"headline\">How Trump nearly doubled his support from Black voters<\/h1>\n<p class=\"wpds-c-ckOSsQ wpds-c-ckOSsQ-iPJLV-css\" data-qa=\"subheadline\" data-testid=\"subheadline\">New data shows historic gains made by the president among this racial demographic.<\/p>\n<article class=\"grid-article mb-xxl-ns\" data-qa=\"main\">\n<div class=\"grid-body\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-ffLlrl wpds-c-ffLlrl-iPJLV-css\" data-testid=\"byline-container\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-kkHkJQ\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"meteredContent grid-center\">\n<div class=\"teaser-content\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"IBORS3MNZFEC3H7A2UQRA5AEVE\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"0\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">After the presidential election in November, <a class=\"js-itid-click\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/elections\/interactive\/2024\/exit-polls-2024-election\/\">exit polls<\/a> suggested that Donald Trump could credit his victory to support from young adults, voters lacking a college degree, and Hispanic and Black men. His improvement among Black voters was noteworthy at the time, but new data \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/06\/PP-2025.6.26_validated-voters_report.pdf\">based on voters<\/a> whose participation is confirmed in state election records \u2014 confirms that his share was historic.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"G4PS3Q7EDVEYZIQOLESPCKD5JU\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"1\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Trump is the first Republican presidential nominee in nearly half a century to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2025\/06\/26\/voting-patterns-in-the-2024-election\/\">win at least 15 percent<\/a> of this bloc, according to the Pew Research Center, two points higher than exit polls showed. This means Trump nearly doubled his support from Black voters compared with 2020, increasing from 5 to 10 percent among women and from 12 to 21 percent among men.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-custom_embed subtype-datawrapper\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<div class=\"mb-md\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-CAx9m\" class=\"wpds-c-czpjx\" title=\"datawrapper-CAx9m\" role=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/CAx9m\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"IRMDJQUZWRBY3FTN67Z4GN76Q4\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"2\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Reports attributed this shift to several factors: the appeal of MAGA\u2019s swaggering brand to<a class=\"js-itid-click\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/nation\/2024\/03\/08\/trump-black-voters-election\/\"> Black men<\/a>, the resurgence of <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/black-conservative-voters-stand-trump-despite-controversial-remarks\/story?id=107594481\">Black conservatives<\/a> after Barack Obama\u2019s presidency and a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/04\/17\/us\/politics\/black-democrats-age-gap.html\"> generational rift<\/a> among the nation\u2019s most uniform bloc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV wpds-c-PJLV-bHCGeL-isStandardLayoutAd-true article-body type-inline-ad subtype-mobile\" data-qa=\"article-body\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"CCVFTWD5DFCADEPEHCMV7Y5YA4\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"3\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Republican strategists in the post-civil rights era believed that if their candidates could win just<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/2152134?seq=1\"> 20 percent<\/a> of Black voters, the party would have a stronghold on the White House and \u201cbecome a majority party.\u201d Trump came closer to that number than Ronald Reagan and every Republican presidential candidate since. Black Republicans are already pushing Trump and the party to take <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2025\/09\/21\/trump-black-voters-2026-election-00568650\">outreach to Black voters<\/a> seriously if they want to maintain control of Congress.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"AV6JDPSI6FGJNHO7YUR4337TCQ\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"4\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Trump\u2019s improvement isn\u2019t due to his delivery on campaign promises or better outcomes for Black voters. Though his continued support of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/09\/15\/us\/hbcus-trump-administration-funding.html\">historically Black colleges<\/a> is welcome, he hasn\u2019t kept his word on nearly any other<a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.donaldjtrump.com\/public-files\/press_assets\/president-trump-platinum-plan-final-version.pdf\"> policy promise made<\/a> to the group. Their<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-economy-black-americans-finances-unemployment-homeownership-588c2d230cfd7e7347f69d4a4fbe24ea\"> economic situation<\/a> is worsening: Unemployment is up; income and homeownership are down. And it isn\u2019t his style or persona that is winning them over.<a class=\"js-itid-click\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2025\/09\/19\/trump-poll-crime-immigration-economy-tariffs\/\"> Only 5 percent<\/a> of Black Americans strongly approve of his performance, earning him the group\u2019s lowest approval rating <a class=\"js-itid-click\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/archive\/politics\/1986\/01\/18\/reagan-rating-falls-in-poll-of-blacks\/b452138c-46ba-4353-b6d7-eb895d650bdc\/\">since 1983<\/a>, when Reagan opposed creating a federal holiday for the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. So, what explains Trump\u2019s success?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"B3IPVEDVY5HY3FHSLXDM2AMOFE\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"5\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">The easy but incorrect answer is that a growing number of Black Americans are comfortable voting against their interests. The truth is that their party loyalty is fraying and more of them are less likely to link their personal interests to the group\u2019s. A century ago, about 90 percent of Black people <a href=\"https:\/\/demographicchartbook.com\/index.php\/chapter-4-race-and-hispanic-origin\/figure-4-8-percent-distribution-of-the-population-by-race-and-hispanic-origin-for-the-united-states-by-region-1790-1820-1860-1900-1940-1970-2000-and-2010\/\">lived in the South<\/a>, creating political bonds as they survived oppression. Scholars have chronicled how segregation and injustice shaped the group\u2019s long-standing solidarity at the ballot box, making civil rights the basis for its politics. But the 1960s were many elections ago \u2014 the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2024\/01\/10\/key-facts-about-black-eligible-voters-in-2024\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"> vast majority<\/a> of Black voters today were born after the end of Jim Crow and after the Great Migration diffused the Black experience beyond the South. Trump is the first Republican president to benefit from the resulting diversification.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV wpds-c-PJLV-bHCGeL-isStandardLayoutAd-true article-body type-inline-ad subtype-mobile\" data-qa=\"article-body\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-custom_embed subtype-datawrapper\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<div class=\"mb-md\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-SCHDJ\" class=\"wpds-c-czpjx\" title=\"datawrapper-SCHDJ\" role=\"none\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/SCHDJ\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"NAHZWHHMHJDCFAP56J3MLHMOGY\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"6\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">There\u2019s a wide-ranging<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/opinion\/the-american-political-realignment-is-real-voter-patterns-election-af0ff62e\"> realignment happening<\/a> in American politics. The usual cleavages along racial, educational and class lines are changing, and Black America is not immune. A<a href=\"https:\/\/blackvaluesresearch.org\/\"> recent study<\/a> found that 3 in 5 Black voters prioritize health care and cost-of-living concerns over civil rights policy. Younger ones are less partisan, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/21565503.2019.1638801\">consider racial identity differently<\/a> in their politics and think most about socioeconomic mobility. Moreover, the Black immigrant population <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/race-and-ethnicity\/2022\/01\/20\/one-in-ten-black-people-living-in-the-u-s-are-immigrants\">has doubled<\/a> in the past two decades, and 1 in 5 Black people are either foreign-born or the children of immigrants. In a two-party republic, especially a polarized one, changes in loyalty to the Democratic Party mean some increased support for Republicans.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"Y3RNITDJUBHKZMBQFCOIKD35CQ\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"7\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Perhaps Trump\u2019s campaign sensed the opportunity was ripe for seizing, but if that\u2019s true, the outreach did not reflect it. At a 2024 campaign stop in South Carolina, Trump complained about his criminal indictments before adding: \u201cA lot of people said that\u2019s why the Black people like me. \u2026 It\u2019s been pretty amazing but possibly, maybe, there\u2019s something there.\u201d He attended a <a class=\"js-itid-click\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2024\/07\/31\/trump-black-voters-nabj-harris\/\">conference of Black journalists<\/a> in Chicago where he questioned whether Kamala Harris was Black and amplified <a class=\"js-itid-click\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2024\/09\/14\/trump-immigrants-eating-pets-racist-stereotype\/\">false claims<\/a> that Black immigrants in Ohio were eating their neighbors\u2019 pets. Trump\u2019s success is because an evolving electorate made room for him, not the other way around.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"meteredContent grid-center\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"WQY6UQS33RFLRBSU5KAFDS34YE\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"8\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Ideological diversity among Black voters, despite a history of partisan voting, mirrors most groups in America; they are not a monolith. And they are not static, either. Because of the successes and failures of previous generations, their politics, allegiances and priorities change. This generation of Black voters is the first to grow up in an accessible democracy and witness a Black president and vice president \u2014 of course their politics have evolved.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV wpds-c-PJLV-bHCGeL-isStandardLayoutAd-true article-body type-inline-ad subtype-mobile\" data-qa=\"article-body\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"X6YQQ66XNZC25PAREZZU4WVMLE\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"9\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">There have been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/09\/16\/magazine\/black-vote.html\">three times<\/a> when 95 percent of Black voters supported the same presidential candidate: during Reconstruction; in 1964, when the Civil Rights Act was effectively on the ballot; and in the Obama campaigns. But rather than signal the beginning of a new politics \u2014 such as the idea of a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2008\/01\/28\/18489466\/a-new-post-racial-political-era-in-america\"> post-racial America<\/a> in 2008 \u2014 maybe these moments were the culmination of the previous struggle. Reconstruction facilitated democratic participation denied at the country\u2019s founding; the civil rights era realized the progress sought during Reconstruction; Obama\u2019s presidency was a product of a half-century of Black electoral solidarity shaped by civil rights legislation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-PJLV article-body type-text\" data-qa=\"article-body\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-heFNVF wpds-c-heFNVF-iPJLV-css overrideStyles font-copy\" dir=\"null\" data-apitype=\"text\" data-contentid=\"X7SDCH2NZVGYVAGJ6EPXZ5C5YA\" data-el=\"text\" data-scroll-pos=\"10\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">Trump\u2019s historic showing suggests the realignment underway includes Black voters who are willing to give precedence to factors other than the parties\u2019 rhetoric or records on racial equality. That doesn\u2019t mean Republicans will soon hit their holy grail share of 20 percent nationally. If history is a guide, the party is more likely to squander this opportunity than to appreciate it. Next year\u2019s midterms will offer the best clue as to whether the increased Black support is the party\u2019s or if it is Trump\u2019s alone. Either way, the game is changing.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-iMBzTR wpds-c-iMBzTR-iljNamd-css article-footer\">\n<hr class=\"wpds-c-czFuUx\" \/>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-dhzjXW wpds-c-dhzjXW-iiKBvgK-css footer-sm overrideStyles test article-bottom-action-bar\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-rPmfy\">\n<p class=\"wpds-c-esEUdQ wpds-c-esEUdQ-hyvuql-isBold-true wpds-c-esEUdQ-igDDRwa-css headingStyleOverrides\" data-apitype=\"header\" data-contentid=\"0\" data-testid=\"article-header\" data-scroll-pos=\"11\" data-scroll-measured=\"true\">What readers are saying<\/p>\n<div class=\"wpds-c-bHXelH wpds-c-bHXelH-erqBZw-maxWidth-md wpds-c-bHXelH-ijLYHBl-css\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-bHXelH wpds-c-bHXelH-erqBZw-maxWidth-md wpds-c-bHXelH-iiSpORC-css\">\n<div class=\"wpds-c-bHXelH wpds-c-bHXelH-erqBZw-maxWidth-md wpds-c-bHXelH-igoXVOL-css\">\n<div>The conversation explores various perspectives on the factors contributing to Donald Trump&#8217;s increased support among Black voters in the 2024 election. Many participants suggest that misogyny played a significant role, with some Black men reportedly reluctant to vote for a female&#8230;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How Trump nearly doubled his support from Black voters New data shows historic gains made by the president among this racial demographic. After the presidential election in November, exit polls suggested that Donald Trump could credit his victory to support from young adults, voters lacking a college degree, and Hispanic and Black men. His improvement [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-government"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=860"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/860\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":861,"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/860\/revisions\/861"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sterlingcooper.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}